tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Tampa via Washington: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:00 RDU → 07:19 DCA
    DL 5006 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 19m · 82% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 56m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:15 DCA → 12:40 TPA
    AA 2852 · American · 2h 25m · 81% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 56m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 40mRDU 06:00 to TPA 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.