tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Los Angeles via New York: arrives on time 64%

  1. 13:53 RDU → 15:50 JFK
    DL 5009 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 57m · 68% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 JFK → 22:19 LAX
    DL 707 · Delta · 6h 19m · 75% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip11h 26mRDU 13:53 to LAX 22:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.