tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

White Plains → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 60%

  1. 18:49 HPN → 21:17 ATL
    DL 5013 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 28m · 69% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 ATL → 00:17 MSP +1 day
    DL 1310 · Delta · 2h 37m · 78% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind White Plains). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 28mHPN 18:49 to MSP 00:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.