tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

White Plains → Detroit via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 18:49 HPN → 21:17 ATL
    DL 5013 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 28m · 69% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:59 ATL → 00:59 DTW +1 day
    DL 2940 · Delta · 2h 00m · 73% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 10mHPN 18:49 to DTW 00:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.