tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charleston → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 43%

  1. 12:47 CHS → 15:00 JFK
    DL 5015 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 13m · 76% on time, 5.3% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 JFK → 17:47 BNA
    DL 4909 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 57m · 74% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Charleston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (5.3% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 00mCHS 12:47 to BNA 17:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.