tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Boston via Minneapolis: arrives on time 45%

  1. 17:55 SDF → 19:09 MSP
    DL 5017 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 10m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:09 MSP → 23:57 BOS
    DL 2614 · Delta · 2h 48m · 79% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 02mSDF 17:55 to BOS 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.