tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Seattle via New York: arrives on time 65%

  1. 11:46 CLE → 13:29 JFK
    DL 5018 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 44m · 83% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:50 JFK → 20:19 SEA
    DL 740 · Delta · 6h 29m · 71% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 11h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Cleveland). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 156 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip11h 33mCLE 11:46 to SEA 20:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.