tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Atlanta via Minneapolis: arrives on time 57%

  1. 18:03 DSM → 19:15 MSP
    DL 5020 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 12m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 MSP → 23:47 ATL
    DL 1032 · Delta · 2h 37m · 83% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 44mDSM 18:03 to ATL 23:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.