tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Des Moines → Philadelphia via Minneapolis: arrives on time 60%

  1. 18:03 DSM → 19:15 MSP
    DL 5020 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 12m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 MSP → 23:56 PHL
    DL 2703 · Delta · 2h 32m · 77% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Des Moines). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 54mDSM 18:03 to PHL 23:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.