tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Washington via New York: arrives on time 53%

  1. 12:20 AVL → 14:23 LGA
    DL 5025 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 04m · 76% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 LGA → 18:58 DCA
    DL 5717 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 38m · 62% on time, 9.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (9.5% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 38mAVL 12:20 to DCA 18:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.