tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Tampa via Hebron: arrives on time 80%

  1. 09:45 EWR → 11:53 CVG
    DL 5026 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 08m · 86% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in Hebron (CVG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 CVG → 17:28 TPA
    DL 1679 · Delta · 2h 08m · 83% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 162 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 43mEWR 09:45 to TPA 17:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.