tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Dulles via Hebron: arrives on time 81%

  1. 09:45 EWR → 11:53 CVG
    DL 5026 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 08m · 86% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Hebron (CVG) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:55 CVG → 16:34 IAD
    UA 4018 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 39m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 92 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 49mEWR 09:45 to IAD 16:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.