tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Huntsville → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 36%

  1. 14:03 HSV → 16:58 DTW
    DL 5041 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 55m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 DTW → 19:50 LGA
    DL 2604 · Delta · 1h 51m · 61% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Huntsville). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 47mHSV 14:03 to LGA 19:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.