tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 26%

  1. 14:37 CLT → 16:40 LGA
    DL 5046 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 03m · 69% on time, 13.6% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:27 LGA → 19:19 BNA
    DL 5002 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 54m · 62% on time, 15.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (13.6% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (15.1% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 44mCLT 14:37 to BNA 19:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.