tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Atlanta via Minneapolis: arrives on time 51%

  1. 14:15 RIC → 16:19 MSP
    DL 5063 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 3h 01m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 MSP → 20:56 ATL
    DL 1036 · Delta · 2h 41m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 41mRIC 14:15 to ATL 20:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.