tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Detroit via Minneapolis: arrives on time 55%

  1. 14:15 RIC → 16:19 MSP
    DL 5063 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 3h 01m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:46 MSP → 22:33 DTW
    DL 1484 · Delta · 1h 47m · 63% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 162 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip8h 18mRIC 14:15 to DTW 22:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.