tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Buffalo via New York: arrives on time 48%

  1. 19:26 CLT → 21:39 JFK
    DL 5067 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 16m · 69% on time, 8.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 JFK → 00:38 BUF +1 day
    DL 5264 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 58m · 83% on time, 8.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (8.5% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (8.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 12mCLT 19:26 to BUF 00:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.