tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Buffalo via New York: arrives on time 47%

  1. 09:36 CLT → 11:32 LGA
    DL 5068 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 56m · 83% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:18 LGA → 13:50 BUF
    DL 5362 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 33m · 80% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 15mCLT 09:36 to BUF 13:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.