tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Charlotte: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:51 LGA → 08:56 CLT
    DL 5068 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 05m · 88% on time, 8.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:44 CLT → 13:12 XNA
    AA 5444 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 28m · 86% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (8.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 21mLGA 06:51 to XNA 13:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.