tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Raleigh/Durham via Newark: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:30 CVG → 08:29 EWR
    DL 5069 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 59m · 90% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 EWR → 11:18 RDU
    DL 5124 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 48m · 86% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 48mCVG 06:30 to RDU 11:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.