tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Las Vegas via Detroit: arrives on time 48%

  1. 18:29 CVG → 19:51 DTW
    DL 5071 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 21m · 70% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:43 DTW → 22:00 LAS
    DL 916 · Delta · 4h 17m · 72% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 31mCVG 18:29 to LAS 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.