Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Atlanta via Dulles: arrives on time 43%

  1. 16:40 JFK → 18:32 IAD
    DL 5076 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 51m · 62% on time, 12.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 IAD → 21:39 ATL
    DL 2902 · Delta · 2h 00m · 78% on time, 6.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (12.7% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (6.6% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 55mJFK 16:40 to ATL 21:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.