tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Dulles via New York: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:00 CLT → 08:00 JFK
    DL 5079 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 59m · 89% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:16 JFK → 11:48 IAD
    DL 5835 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 32m · 87% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 91 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 48mCLT 06:00 to IAD 11:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.