tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Dallas-Fort Worth via Detroit: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:15 JFK → 09:25 DTW
    DL 5080 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 08m · 87% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 DTW → 14:32 DFW
    DL 1041 · Delta · 2h 49m · 86% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip8h 19mJFK 07:15 to DFW 14:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.