tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Orlando via Detroit: arrives on time 65%

  1. 07:15 JFK → 09:25 DTW
    DL 5080 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 08m · 87% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:35 DTW → 13:11 MCO
    DL 1747 · Delta · 2h 36m · 74% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 56mJFK 07:15 to MCO 13:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.