tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Houston via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:15 JFK → 09:25 DTW
    DL 5080 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 08m · 87% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:30 DTW → 14:30 IAH
    DL 1864 · Delta · 3h 00m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 15mJFK 07:15 to IAH 14:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.