tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Honolulu via Detroit: arrives on time 66%

  1. 07:15 JFK → 09:25 DTW
    DL 5080 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 08m · 87% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 DTW → 14:01 HNL
    DL 307 · Delta · 9h 31m · 77% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 12h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 6 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip12h 46mJFK 07:15 to HNL 14:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.