tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → Nashville via New York: arrives on time 33%

  1. 17:04 PIT → 18:55 JFK
    DL 5085 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 52m · 52% on time, 12.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 JFK → 22:05 BNA
    DL 4908 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 54m · 74% on time, 7.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Pittsburgh). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (12.7% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (7.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 50mPIT 17:04 to BNA 22:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.