tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → Miami via New York: arrives on time 29%

  1. 17:04 PIT → 18:55 JFK
    DL 5085 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 52m · 52% on time, 12.7% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:52 JFK → 23:33 MIA
    DL 1428 · Delta · 3h 41m · 70% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (12.7% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 29mPIT 17:04 to MIA 23:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.