tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → Tampa via New York: arrives on time 35%

  1. 17:04 PIT → 18:55 JFK
    DL 5085 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 52m · 52% on time, 12.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 JFK → 23:23 TPA
    DL 1636 · Delta · 3h 24m · 76% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (12.7% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 19mPIT 17:04 to TPA 23:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.