tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → Denver via New York: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:04 PIT → 18:55 JFK
    DL 5085 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 52m · 52% on time, 12.7% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 JFK → 22:45 DEN
    DL 424 · Delta · 4h 55m · 70% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Pittsburgh). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (12.7% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 41mPIT 17:04 to DEN 22:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.