tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbia → Dallas-Fort Worth via New York: arrives on time 31%

  1. 16:05 CAE → 18:06 LGA
    DL 5089 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 01m · 71% on time, 9.5% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 LGA → 21:50 DFW
    DL 352 · Delta · 3h 55m · 55% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Columbia). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (9.5% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 45mCAE 16:05 to DFW 21:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.