tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbia → Washington via New York: arrives on time 31%

  1. 16:05 CAE → 18:06 LGA
    DL 5089 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 01m · 71% on time, 9.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:20 LGA → 20:59 DCA
    DL 5724 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 40m · 50% on time, 10.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (9.5% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (10.9% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip4h 55mCAE 16:05 to DCA 20:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.