tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbia → Charlotte via New York: arrives on time 37%

  1. 16:05 CAE → 18:06 LGA
    DL 5089 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 01m · 71% on time, 9.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 LGA → 21:33 CLT
    DL 5818 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 32m · 63% on time, 10.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (9.5% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (10.9% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 37mCAE 16:05 to CLT 21:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.