tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Greenville → Newark via Detroit: arrives on time 40%

  1. 18:55 GSP → 20:48 DTW
    DL 5090 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 53m · 61% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 DTW → 23:29 EWR
    DL 2609 · Delta · 1h 49m · 71% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 34mGSP 18:55 to EWR 23:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.