tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbia → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:58 CAE → 13:10 ATL
    DL 5091 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 12m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:59 ATL → 16:47 IAD
    DL 1695 · Delta · 1h 48m · 78% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 49m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 49mCAE 11:58 to IAD 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.