tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Las Vegas via New York: arrives on time 77%

  1. 11:35 CVG → 13:40 JFK
    DL 5096 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 05m · 84% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 JFK → 19:49 LAS
    DL 806 · Delta · 5h 49m · 82% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 11h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip11h 14mCVG 11:35 to LAS 19:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.