tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Atlanta via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 86%

  1. 08:51 JFK → 10:49 RDU
    DL 5097 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 56m · 85% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:49 RDU → 15:20 ATL
    DL 1488 · Delta · 1h 31m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 29mJFK 08:51 to ATL 15:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.