tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Detroit via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 85%

  1. 08:51 JFK → 10:49 RDU
    DL 5097 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 56m · 85% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 RDU → 14:58 DTW
    DL 2265 · Delta · 1h 58m · 91% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 07mJFK 08:51 to DTW 14:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.