tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Grand Rapids → Washington via New York: arrives on time 30%

  1. 17:56 GRR → 20:00 LGA
    DL 5104 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 04m · 67% on time, 10.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 LGA → 22:55 DCA
    DL 1825 · Delta · 1h 30m · 47% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (10.5% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip4h 59mGRR 17:56 to DCA 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.