tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Minneapolis via New York: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:00 TYS → 08:04 LGA
    DL 5116 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 03m · 91% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 LGA → 13:08 MSP
    DL 2409 · Delta · 2h 58m · 85% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Knoxville). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 08mTYS 06:00 to MSP 13:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.