tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chattanooga → Newark via Detroit: arrives on time 36%

  1. 15:00 CHA → 16:58 DTW
    DL 5117 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 58m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:44 DTW → 19:30 EWR
    DL 2567 · Delta · 1h 46m · 53% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip4h 30mCHA 15:00 to EWR 19:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.