tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Hebron via Newark: arrives on time 61%

  1. 07:05 RDU → 08:59 EWR
    DL 5120 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 54m · 89% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:45 EWR → 11:53 CVG
    DL 5026 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 08m · 86% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 48mRDU 07:05 to CVG 11:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.