tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Las Vegas via Newark: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:05 RDU → 08:59 EWR
    DL 5120 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 54m · 89% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Newark (EWR) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:25 EWR → 14:53 LAS
    UA 1864 · United · 5h 28m · 86% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 48mRDU 07:05 to LAS 14:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.