Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 40%

  1. 19:45 AVL → 21:02 ATL
    DL 5122 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 17m · 60% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 ATL → 23:44 DCA
    DL 537 · Delta · 1h 49m · 70% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 3h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip3h 59mAVL 19:45 to DCA 23:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.