tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Detroit via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:30 EWR → 11:18 RDU
    DL 5124 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 48m · 86% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 42m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 RDU → 14:58 DTW
    DL 2265 · Delta · 1h 58m · 91% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 42m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 28mEWR 09:30 to DTW 14:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.