tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Salt Lake City via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 17:59 XNA → 20:55 ATL
    DL 5126 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 56m · 59% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:15 ATL → 00:26 SLC +1 day
    DL 453 · Delta · 4h 04m · 75% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 20mXNA 17:59 to SLC 00:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.