tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Detroit via Washington: arrives on time 41%

  1. 17:10 CVG → 18:46 DCA
    DL 5134 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 36m · 54% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 DCA → 21:41 DTW
    DL 2030 · Delta · 1h 41m · 70% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 30mCVG 17:10 to DTW 21:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.