tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Raleigh/Durham via New York: arrives on time 55%

  1. 08:00 CVG → 10:00 LGA
    DL 5149 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 00m · 82% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:20 LGA → 13:12 RDU
    DL 5502 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 52m · 68% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 12mCVG 08:00 to RDU 13:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.