Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Atlanta via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 47%
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16:50 JFK → 19:09 RDUDL 5150 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 16m · 75% on time, 5.7% cancelled
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50m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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19:59 RDU → 21:42 ATLDL 1097 · Delta · 1h 43m · 78% on time, 2.8% cancelled
Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 52mJFK 16:50 to ATL 21:42, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.